Archive for the ‘Trump, Donald’ Category

WaPo: Proof of collusion with the Russians!

October 25, 2017

But, it was the Clinton campaign and DNC … not Trumpsters.

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In case your eyes were glued to the World Series (which the Dodgers won 3 to 1) …

Last night, the Washington Post – hardly a  right-wing conspirator – published an exclusive report (that has now been verified by several news sources) that provides evidence tying the Clinton campaign and the DNC to Russians.

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Here’s the story in a nutshell …

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President acts Russian … names more than 30 “Czars”

August 1, 2017

Why hasn’t this gotten any attention recently?

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Dems and their media buddies keep hammering Trump for being too cozy with Russia.

The slightest innuendo or chance encounter (think: Trump chats with Putin at formal G20 dinner”) gets blown up into a faux cause celebre that quickly evaporates.

Imagine for a moment if President Trump were to circumvent the Senate’s “advise & consent” rules by appointing people to his administration who play high-level cabinet-like roles … but aren’t subject to Senate approval.

The screaming would be deafening.

And, imagine if Trump were to call the process-circumventing appointees “Czars”.

Russia !  Russia !!!  Russia !!!!

Clear evidence of collusion: Impeach for treason.

 

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Only problem with the story: Trump hasn’t done it, but Obama did … to a gleeful, encouraging press that argued “he had no choice but to do it.”

For a trip down memory lane, here’s a list of Obama’s Czars….

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Trump threatens to make Congress live by the laws they pass ….

July 31, 2017

Starting with Congressional ObamaCare carve-outs.

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It’s no secret that I get annoyed every time Congress passes legislation that provides that it doesn’t apply to them.

See Should lawmakers (and regulators) have to eat their own cooking?

So, I was delighted when President Trump tweeted over the weekend:

“If a new HealthCare Bill is not approved quickly … BAILOUTS for Members of Congress will end very soon!”

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Here’s the back story …

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Laughs: AGT presents the “Singing Trump”

July 28, 2017

You have to trust me on this one …

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Yeah, I’m still watching America’s Got Talent .

I watch it so that you don’t have to … except for the highlights that I dish to loyal readers.

Here’s a hilarious one for you, whether you’re pro-Trump or anti-Trump …

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The back story:

When the Singing Trump walked on stage for his first audition, the crowd booed loudly … remember, it is an NBC show.

Australian “Mel B.” – former Spice Girl and now an AGT judge – joined the booing and gave him a disqualifying ‘red X’ as soon as he started his act.  Politically motivated?

The other judges passed him on to the next round.

This time, crowd was friendlier and Mel B. said

“I have to eat my words and apologize. You’re just like ‘him’ and you entertained us with the best 2 Backstreet Boys songs ever.”

End the week with a smile (and maybe a laugh).

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click to view

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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In praise of gridlock …

July 14, 2017

And, why I don’t care if Trump gets impeached.

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I had a few very interesting conversations over the past week or two.

They revolved around a couple of linked topics:

1) Buyer’s remose

2) Congressional gridlock

3) Impeachment

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For what it’s worth, here’s how I come out on these topics …

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Dilbert asks: “Who wants a dangerous man in the White House?”

June 23, 2017

Well, not actually Dilbert … rather Dilbert’s author Scott Adams.

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With all of the MSM “Trump is a bad person” hysteria … coupled with the Dems 4th straight special elections loss … I was reminded of a prior (and once again timely) post.

During the Presidential campaign, Adams hit the nail on the head on his Dilbert blog, …

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Adams observed that, during the campaign, , Hillary’s constant refrain that we can’t have a loose cannon in the White House.

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Adam’s cut to the chase on on “Dangerous Trump”:

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Will Mueller give Comey immunity?

June 22, 2017

May not be as wild as it sounds.

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Let’s connect some dots today …

MSM has been buzzing about Trump reportedly considering pardons for some of his “satellites” termination of Mueller as special investigator … and, Mueller shining a spotlight on the alleged obstruction of justice charges that Comey kinda lobbed into the mix.

Keep in mind that — well after the fact —  Comey provided sworn testimony that that his investigation had not been subjected to any obstruction. Period.

Then, after getting canned, he leaked his ‘file-to-the-memo’ to the New York Times.

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Strikes me, that Comey – as usual – was trying to be too cute by half and got himself into a bit of a bind.

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About the hyperventilation over Russia…

June 1, 2017

Some key points are being overlooked.

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Fueled by rumors and “secret intel assessment”, election-deniers are having a field day blaming Queen Hillary’s loss on the Russians and alleging that Trump is in Putin’s back pocket.

Beyond the hypocrisy of the Dems hissy fit over Trump’s  refusal (in debate #3) to commit to accepting the election results if they seemed tainted (<= ironic, isn’t it?), the deniers seem to be overlooking a couple of key points.

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Will Comey ask Mueller for immunity?

May 26, 2017

May not be as wild as it sounds.

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Let’s connect some dots today …

Couple of weeks ago, there was aleak that Comey had a file memo documenting that Trump had privately told him (Comey) that he (Trump) hoped that he (Comey) could make the Flynn investigation go away quickly.

Left-leaning media started screaming “obstruction” … and right-leaning news outlets countered by looping later sworn testimony by Comey that his investigation had not been subjected to any obstruction. Period.

A Congressional oversight committee invited Comey to testify – to clear up the apparent contradiction … Comey agreed.

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Then, Comey postponed (cancelled?) his  Congressional committee appearance. source

Instead, he met with Rep. Chaffetz who has said that if more information were made public, then folks would cut Comey more slack on his handling of the Clinton email fiasco.

Hmmm.

And, it was reported that — before any Congressional appearances – Comey wanted to meet with Special Investigative Counselor Robert Mueller. source

Double hmmm.

What’s that all about?

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Will President Trump get a Nobel Peace Prize?

May 22, 2017

That’s the thought that was running through my mind.

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It must have been an unbearable weekend for Trump-haters.

He got an enthusiastic, lavish red carpet welcome in Saudi Arabia.

He wasn’t boorish, crude, moronic, Islamophobic … or worse.

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He delivered a powerful speech to the leaders of 50 Muslim countries emphasizing:

  • There’s a fundamental difference between good and evil
  • Terrorists are evil and need to be eradicated from the earth.
  • Iran represents ground zero in the fight against terrorism.
  • Muslim-majority nations need to step-up and lead the fight.
  • America will help and will be dependable, because it’s in our self-interest.

Then, he participated in the ceremonial opening of a center intended to monitor and counter-act extremist ideologies.

Seriously, how can anybody think that those are bad ideas?

So, back to the opening question: will Trump get a Nobel Peace Prize … just like Obama did 8 years ago?

Obviously, he’s got a few things working against him….

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Are Comey’s memos stored in Pandora’s box?

May 18, 2017

The ‘Resistance’ has gotten what it wanted … and may rue the day.

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Let’s keep this simple.

1) Democrats have been hollering for a special prosecutor, and

2) Comey reportedly wrote a memo-for-the-file – a practice that he’s known to have always done routinely – that says Trump hoped the Flynn investigation would go away … obstruction of justice? smoking gun?

3)  So, Robert Mueller got appointed Special Counsel to the FBI:

Mueller is authorized to investigate “any links and/or coordination between the Russian government and individuals associated with the campaign of President Donald Trump,”  as well as “other matters that may arise directly from the investigation”.

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OK, so Comey routinely wrote contemporaneous file memos documenting his interactions with his superiors … not just Trump … prior Presidents and DOJ bosses as well.

By definition, those memos are government property since they were created in direct connection to his job.

Mueller -– who has bi-partisan support as the last honest man – is authorized to pursue “other matters”.

Here’s where the Dems may be sorry that they got what they wished for …

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NYT: “Acting F.B.I. director McCabe contradicts White House”

May 12, 2017

P.S. He also contradicted Comey, the Democrat’s main talking point and, oh yeah, himself.

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Yesterday, Acting FBI Director Andrew McCabe testified before a Senate oversight committee.

McCabe was Comey’s second-in-command … previously best known for having a wife who ran for office in Virginia with mucho financial backing from the Democratic party and Gov. Terry McAuliffe – a longstanding Clintonista.

The connection raised obvious questions about conflict of interests during the Clinton email investigation.

Point: he’s certainly not a shill for the GOP.

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The mainstream media, led by the NY Times, took to headlining that:

Mr. McCabe rejected the White House’s assertion that Mr. Comey had lost the backing of rank-and-file F.B.I. agents.

“Director Comey enjoyed broad support within the F.B.I. and still does to this day.”

Hmmm.

Let’s dig a little deeper …

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Trumpspeak: It’s all about the way he talks …

May 8, 2017

Some folks can stand to listen to the President talk … and some find it refreshing.

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Great piece in the Washington Post by Barton Swaim author of “The Speechwriter: A Brief Education in Politics.”

His basic conclusion: “The most distinctive thing about Trump … is the structure of his language.”

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Swain says that Trump — nnlike most politicians –doesn’t speak in political rhetoric; he speaks in punchlines – short jabs, not convoluted passages. He lays it out there and let’s you buy in or opt out.

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Did data analytics miss the forest for the trees?

April 25, 2017

Team Clinton’s GOTV effort got out a lot of votes … for Trump

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Let’s dust-off another post related to the recently released book Shattered: Inside Clinton’s Doomed Campaign.

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According to the Huffington Post:

As the post-election day hangover wears off, an examination of the mechanics behind the Clinton’s get out the vote efforts ― reaching out to Clinton voters in key states at the door, on the phone or by text messages ― reveals evidence of what appears to be a pretty shocking truth.

Clinton volunteers were inadvertently turning out Trump voters.

Possibly in significant numbers.

What went wrong? (more…)

WaPo Poll: Trump is a horrible person, a worse president, and everybody thinks so…

April 24, 2017

Well, actually, there’s somebody who is worse..

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The Washington Post just reported a poll that is, charitably speaking, unfavorable for President Trump.

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According to the Post’s analysis:

Trump has reached the 100-day marker in his presidency faring worse to much worse than other recent presidents.

Specifically: Trump’s approval rating stands at 42%, the lowest recorded at this stage of a presidency dating to Dwight Eisenhower.

In comparison, President Obama’s approval was 69% at this point in his Presidency.

But, to the obvious shock & dismay of the WaPo’s reporters, there doesn’t seem to be much indication of buyer’s remorse.

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Shattered: Inside Clinton’s Doomed Campaign

April 20, 2017

I read it so you won’t have to …

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Well, that’s not totally true.

I was swayed by a WSJ reviewer’s conclusion that:

“Shattered” is not a pleasure to read.

The book is also too long.

It’s 400 pages of Clintonian self-aggrandizement, campaign malpractice and passive-aggressive blame-shifting.

More than any ordinary reader can bear.

Since I modestly fashion myself to be just an “ordinary reader”, I just digested a range of book reviews from the New York Times, NPR and the Wall Street Journal.

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Here is my collage of takeaways …

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But, all of the chemical weapons were already out of Syria … right?

April 10, 2017

Even the mainstream media has had to acknowledge former President Obama’s infamous Syrian red line threat.

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You remember,  the former President said that Syria would face grave consequences if chemical weapons were used.

When the WMDs were used, the Administration kicked into high gear with increasingly harsh teleprompter readings and and a pleas for the Russians to take charge.

Soon thereafter came the declarations of victory – bold self-praise that all chemical weapons had been destroyed or removed (to Russia, of course).

In case you’ve forgotten the chest-banging, here’s a great compilation of the self-congratulatory gobbledygook (def’n)

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Source: Washington Free Beacon

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Hmmm.

Naive, delusional, intentionally misleading?

You make the call.

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P.S.  Here’s a question to ponder:

Any chance that Syria’s chemical weapons are stamped “Made in Iraq”

15 years ago there were claims that Iraq – given plenty of time while the UN dithered – had moved their stockpiles of chemical weapons to Syria.

But, the emerged narrative was that Bush lied – there never were WMDs in Iraq.

Might be time to re-think that conclusion.

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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The agony and the ecstasy …

March 1, 2017

Sometimes, pictures are worth a thousand words.

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Snaps from Trump’s speech to Congress …

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The day after market reaction: pure ecstasy …

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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President Trump arrives in Washington …

March 1, 2017

Press scrambling to find negative angles.

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Let’s cut to the chase …

This is all that people will remember about President Trump’s speech last night.

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Even Van Jones – former Obama Czar of Something and now a far-left CNN commentator – conceded:

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Here’s the essence of Jones’s musings as reported in the Washington Post …:

That was one of the most extraordinary moments you have ever seen in American politics, period. And he did something extraordinary.

And for people who have been hoping that he would become unifying, hoping that he might find some way to become presidential, they should be happy with that moment.

For people who have been hoping that maybe he would remain a divisive cartoon, which he often finds a way to do, they should begin to become a little bit worried tonight, because that thing you just saw him do, if he finds a way to do that over and over again, he’s going to be there for eight years.

He did something tonight that you cannot take away from him.

He became president of the United States.

With that as a starting point, the media has a challenge on its hands … how to do some reverse alchemy and turn the gold back into straw?

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Trump: Inspired by the 1972 Cuban Olympic boxing team?

February 2, 2017

The AP calls it “unsettling” …   “governing-by-upheaval” to recast the role of government.

A historian says that Trump’s style is a mixture:  “a whiff of Reaganism”  with “plays reminiscent of Richard Nixon”,

My take: President Trump’s 1st week in office calls for a reprise of a HomaFiles post from August 2015 … slightly ahead of its time !

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Many of you may be too young to have witnessed and remember, but…

In the 1972 Olympics, the polished U.S. boxing team was predicted to sweep the competition.

But, something happened on the way to the medals’ platform that shocked the sporting world.

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Here’s the story and why Trump’s first days in office jogged my memory of the 1972 Olympics …

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Reuters: Plurality favors the travel ban …

February 1, 2017

But, you have to read beneath the headline !

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Reuters issued one of the 1st polls on attitudes towards Trump’s travel ban on people from President Obama’s list of 7 terrorist hotspots: Iraq, Iran, Syria, Somalia, Sudan, Libya, and Yemen.

The headline:

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Of course, we hate to get picky, but if you add together “make you safer” and “keep you safe”, the headline would read “majority think travel plan keeps America safe (or safer)”

But, that doesn’t fit the narrative, I guess.

Here’s the bigger story (that should have been in the headline).

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A Inauguration Day irony …

January 20, 2017

Comey probably did cost the Dems the White House …

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Here’s something for Dems to ponder on inauguration day.

My theory of the case from the get-go was that

(1) Hillary did break the law by grossly (and intentionally) mishandling classified information

(2) There was both harm & foul … i.e. foreign agents hacked the info.

(3) Comey brushed past the intent  (which wasn’t really required for criminality) and the harm of the foul … because he didn’t want to go down in history as the brutish guy who stopped the first woman from being elected president.

 

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Here’s the irony for the Dems ….

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About the alleged Russian email hack …

December 19, 2016

Some key points are being overlooked.

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Fueled by a “secret CIA assessment”, election-deniers are having a field day blaming Queen Hillary’s loss on the Russians.

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Beyond the hypocrisy of their post-debate-3 hyperventilation over Trump’s refusal to commit to accepting the election results if they seemed tainted, the deniers seem to be overlooking a couple of key points.

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Trump slammed for skipping daily security briefings …

December 12, 2016

Flashback: Current POTUS skips more than half of his (while President).

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The MSM is blasting President-elect Trump for not having security briefings every day.

Keep in mind that Trump is President-elect, not President.

So, the briefings can be a learning experience, but there’s nothing actionable that he can do until January 20.

Putting that fact aside …

Flashback to a study done by Government Accountability Institute re: Obama’s briefing practices.

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At the time, security folks were concerned that Obama was frequently skipping his Presidential Daily Briefings (PDBs).

Here’s what the GAI found …

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Did data analytics miss the forest for the trees?

November 17, 2016

Team Clinton’s GOTV effort got out a lot of votes … for Trump

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According to the Huffington Post:

As the post-election day hangover wears off, an examination of the mechanics behind the Clinton’s get out the vote efforts ― reaching out to Clinton voters in key states at the door, on the phone or by text messages ― reveals evidence of what appears to be a pretty shocking truth.

Clinton volunteers were inadvertently turning out Trump voters.

Possibly in significant numbers.

What went wrong? (more…)

Flashback: Revenge of the unintelligensia?

November 11, 2016

Will “uneducated” voters determine the 2016 Presidential election?

Originally posted July 20, 2016

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The most recent Washington Post poll – showing Hillary leading Donald by a couple of points — provides some very interesting drill down data … it’s worth some browsing time.

Buried in the numbers is some interesting data…..

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MSM headlines frequently stereotype Trump’s supporters as non-college degreed whites … and often, the label is shorthanded as a more pejorative “uneducated”, i.e. mind-numbed dummies.

According to the WaPo poll, it’s true that Trump is favored by “white non-college” almost 2-to-1 … 60% to 33%

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No surprise there …

But, here are some findings that did surprise me a bit since they never gets spotlighted in the mainstream media…

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Flashback: Trump’s appeal among the “precariat”…

November 10, 2016

And, there are over 100 million of them.

Originally posted March 1, 2016

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From a very interesting election analysis in the Orange County Register by Joel Kotkin – Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University …

Disclaimer: I’m not a Trump fan because of his incivility (bad role model for kids), unpredictability (I have no idea where he really stands on any issue except “the wall” – and I’m betting the under on that one), and temperament (though I wonder why the U.S. should be the only country that doesn’t have a wild man with their finger on the nuclear button – why not round out the roster?).

That said, I’ll fill in his circle on the scantron ballot if it’s Trump vs. Hillary in Novemeber.

Why?

I have much sympathy for his constituency of victims: lower and middle class working class folks … with emphasis on “working”.

You know,  the folks that the press likes to brutally characterize as “brain dead, mindless zombies”.

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In his article, Mr. Kotkin more charitably coins them as the “precariat” — people who are working, many part time or on short-term gigs, but lacking long-term security.

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Flashback: Was Trump inspired by the 1972 Cuban Olympic boxing team?

November 9, 2016

Originally posted August 19, 2015 … a bit ahead of its time.

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Many of you may be too young to have witnessed and remember, but…

In the 1972 Olympics, the polished U.S. boxing team was predicted to sweep the competition.

But, something happened on the way to the medals’ platform that shocked the sporting world.

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Here’s the story and why Trump jogged my memory of the 1972 Olympics …

(more…)

Man against machine … Man wins !

November 9, 2016

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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NY Times: FBI clears Trump of Russian ties …

November 1, 2016

… and, says Russian hacking intended to disrupt election, not boost Trump

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Trying to shift attention off Weiner’s email stash, Team Clinton started flashing the Russian shiny object yesterday:

You know, Trump and Putin are in collusion.

Well, even the Dem newspaper of record – the NY Times – concedes that there’s no “there” there.

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Here’s the relevant snippet from the Times article …

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Psst: Did you catch what Trump said about Amazon?

October 27, 2016

During the preamble to his Gettysburg Address …

Trump lashed out at his “accusers” and said he was going to sue them.

Said he’ wouldn’t allow the AT&T – Time Warner deal to get approved … because of a concentration of power.

Of course, his opposition was not because CNN is a part of the deal.

 

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 I haven’t seen press mentions of a 3rd Trump lash out …

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Game on: Debate shines a light on another disgusting tape.

October 10, 2016

This one has been hiding in plain sight for a long time.

I’d been wondering why this tape has largely gone unnoticed by folks.

Maybe, because it’s damning to Hillary, not Donald?

Well, it’s likely to get noticed now.

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In one of his tirades about Clintonian women abuse, Trump landed a body blow:

“One of the women, who is a wonderful woman, at 12 years old, was raped at 12,” Trump said. “Her client she (Clinton) represented got him off, and she’s heard laughing (on tape) on two separate occasions, laughing at the girl who was raped.”

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According to the Washington Post

The attack on Clinton has less to do with the fact that she defended an accused rapist and more to do with how she did it and what she said about the case later

Specifically, it focuses on her efforts to attack the girl’s credibility and allegations that she spoke callously about getting the man a reduced charge, despite appearing to suggest he had been guilty.

The attack plays into twin allegations about Clinton’s character:

1) That she lacks a moral compass and will do whatever is advantageous to her, and

2) That she’s a hypocrite who says one thing today about sexual assault but did the opposite decades ago.

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Here are few more snippets from the Washington Post’s recap of the story …

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NY Times Bombshell: Trump had a tax loss carryforward … disqualifying?

October 3, 2016

 P.S. Hillary had one, too (but the NYT missed that one).

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This would be laughable except it will probably gain more traction with the MSM than Miss Piggy.

Here’s the “smoking gun”:

The New York Times obtained records from 1995 showing that Donald J. Trump declared a $916 million loss.

The figure is so substantial that it could have allowed him to legally avoid paying federal income tax for 18 years.

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Let’s unpack this journalistic gem …

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Stop saying “Don’t grade Trump on a curve”

September 29, 2016

My objection is technical, not political,

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The phrase “don’t grade him on a curve” has now eclipsed “It’s not who we are” as my absolute least favorite.

Folks who are saying it (think, Clinton supporters) are inadvertently flaunting their ignorance (which makes for great irony).

Speaking as a card-carrying academic, my objection is strictly technical.

 

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Let’s get basic.  What does it mean to grade on a curve?

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“I ain’t going down no more”

September 28, 2016

Now, will Trump draw inspiration from Rocky?

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The debate reminded me of the classic clip from the first Rocky movie.

In the flick, Apollo Creed –- fighting within the Marquess of Queensberry Rules — was pummeling Rocky … round after round after round.

With little time left in the fight, Rocky uttered those memorable words:

“I ain’t going down no more”

Then, he came out of his corner like a bull and changed the trajectory of the fight.

 

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click to view the memorable clip   <= worth watching

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My view:

Clinton pummeled Trump, but she didn’t knock him out.

Trump landed a few strong punches.

Trump lives to fight another a day.

He’s a fighter.

Let’s see if Trump pulls a Rocky.

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P.S.  I recollect that Rocky won the re-match and took Creed’s title … hmmm.

click to view the memorable clip

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Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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Update: Visceral vs. cerebral … who won the debate?

September 27, 2016

More overnite numbers ….

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Great recap in the Daily Mail … worth browsing – lots of polls.

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Left-leaning pundits — especially Hillary’s surrogates — are apoplectic on TV today.

“Is the American electorate that stupid?”

Which is worse, stupid or irredeemably deplorable?

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Great tweet from Michael Moore to his left-leaning pals:

 

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This is way more fun than I expected I to be

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Here’s the original post from this morning … just in case you missed it.

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First, my overall take:

Hillary was very well prepped, got all of her talking points in and stayed on offense.

Trump wasted too much time defending himself, didn’t hammer the email scandal and didn’t even raise pay-to-play, Benghazi or “deplorables”.

Holt nibbled at Trump all night, but gave Trump the most important gift: making the first 15 minutes about the economy.

Takeaway from that segment – which pundits pre-argued would be determining – was that Trump will be aggressive on saving jobs and Clinton will create tax payer funded green energy jobs.

Advantage: Trump.

Clinton’s biggest score (with a boost from Holt):  birther issue “proves” that Trump is a racist.

Trump’s biggest scores: “why haven’t you done any of this in the past 30 years?” and firmly headlined  “law & order”.

Both demonstrated why they’re the most disliked candidates ever.

OK, now for the numbers which, frankly, surprised me ….

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From left to right:

Time scored it a 50-50 draw.

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CBS scores it Trump 76%, Clinton 24%

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CNBC scores it 61 to 39 Trump.

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And, far right-leaning Drudge has it Trump 80, Clinton 20

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Team Clinton must be pulling their hair out this morning.

There isn’t much else that Hillary could have done – she was locked & loaded.

Maybe there’s something in her message … or her character … or that smirky “I’m smarter than you” smile that she kept flashing.

Bottom line: Pundits will dismiss the internet polls and score it heavily for Hillary …  but Donald gets to crow about the overnite results and lives to fight another day.

My question: what ammo does Hillary have left for the next debate?

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P.S. Yesterday’s post is worth re-reading:
Trump: Inspired by the 1972 Cuban Olympic boxing team?

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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Visceral vs. cerebral … who won the debate?

September 27, 2016

Here are the overnite numbers ….

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First, my overall take:

Hillary was very well prepped, got all of her talking points in and stayed on offense.

Trump wasted too much time defending himself, didn’t hammer the email scandal and didn’t even raise pay-to-play, Benghazi or “deplorables”.

Holt nibbled at Trump all night, but gave Trump the most important gift: making the first 15 minutes about the economy.

Takeaway from that segment – which pundits pre-argued would be determining – was that Trump will be aggressive on saving jobs and Clinton will create tax payer funded green energy jobs.

Advantage: Trump.

Clinton’s biggest score (with a boost from Holt):  birther issue “proves” that Trump is a racist.

Trump’s biggest scores: “why haven’t you done any of this in the past 30 years?” and firmly headlined  “law & order”.

Both demonstrated why they’re the most disliked candidates ever.

OK, now for the numbers which, frankly, surprised me ….

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From left to right:

Time scored it a 50-50 draw.

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CBS scores it Trump 76%, Clinton 24%

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CNBC scores it 61 to 39 Trump.

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And, far right-leaning Drudge has it Trump 80, Clinton 20

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Team Clinton must be pulling their hair out this morning.

There isn’t much else that Hillary could have done – she was locked & loaded.

Maybe there’s something in her message … or her character … or that smirky “I’m smarter than you” smile that she kept flashing.

Bottom line: Pundits will dismiss the internet polls and score it heavily for Hillary …  but Donald gets to crow about the overnite results and lives to fight another day.

My question: what ammo does Hillary have left for the next debate?

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P.S. Yesterday’s post is worth re-reading:
Trump: Inspired by the 1972 Cuban Olympic boxing team?

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Trump: Inspired by the 1972 Cuban Olympic boxing team?

September 26, 2016

Since the 1st presidential debate is tonite, I thought it would be timely to reprise a post from a couple of months ago.

Read it … and keep it in mind when the contenders spar tonite.

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Many of you may be too young to have witnessed and remember, but…

In the 1972 Olympics, the polished U.S. boxing team was predicted to sweep the competition.

But, something happened on the way to the medals’ platform that shocked the sporting world.

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Here’s the story and why Trump jogged my memory of the 1972 Olympics …

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Trumpspeak: It’s all about the way he talks …

September 23, 2016

Since the debate is coming up, it’s time to pull from the archives ….

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Great piece in the Washington Post by Barton Swaim author of “The Speechwriter: A Brief Education in Politics.”

His basic conclusion: “The most distinctive about Trump … is the structure of his language.”

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Swain says that Trump — nnlike most politicians –doesn’t speak in political rhetoric; he speaks in punchlines – short jabs, not convoluted passages.

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Hillary Clinton: fashion icon … say, what?

September 19, 2016

An article in this weekend’s Washington Post made me belly-laugh …. and gives me a chance to dig a tidbit out of the archives.

Here’s the headline:

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According to WaPo:

The Democratic presidential nominee is, by no means, the typical fashion icon, not in the manner of an actress, a musician or even First Lady Michelle Obama.

But it is hard to deny her influence, whether direct or indirect — on so many designers.

Really?

Reminded me of  a post by Scott Adams — Dilbert’s author — on his Dilbert blog

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But he told Howard Stern …

September 9, 2016

One of the sillier aspects of the campaign is Clinton trying to neutralize her yes vote for the Iraq War by using the schoolyard tactic: “Well, he did it first.”

Her evidence: “Trump told Howard Stern …”

Say, what?

And, the MSM is running with the gotcha as a headline story:

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Just for the entertainment value, let’s unpack this story …

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Trump needs a debate coach …

August 31, 2016

My nomination: Dennis Miller.

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NY Times ran a piece contrasting Donald’s and Hillary’s debate prep:

Hillary Clinton Piles Up Research in Bid to Needle Donald Trump at First Debate

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Predictably, the Times slams Trump for a refusal to wade through policy books or practice mock debates.

Hillary, though, is disciplined, studious and advice-seeking.

She’s consulting with psychologists “preparing ways for her to unnerve Mr. Trump and provoke him to rant and rave.”

They conclude that Trump’s hot buttons are: his intellect, his net worth and his image as a successful businessman.

Easy picking, right?

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So, how can Trump possibly win a debate against her?

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Isn’t an “exit tax” kinda like a wall?

August 19, 2016

Watching the Olympics last night, I was sneak-exposed to a Hillary jobs ad.

The 3 point plan: (1) make everybody pay a fair share – where, of course,  ‘everybody’ is shorthand for ‘somebody who is not you, so cheer’ (2) ‘invest’ in infrastructure – where ‘invest’ means overspend on poorly managed government projects using Cadillac-planned union workers and (3) institute an “exit tax” to keep companies from leaving the U.S.

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It was the exit tax that caught my eye … partially due to the ads placement in the Olympics and because Trump gave his economic speech a few hours earlier.

Here’s why …

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Is Trump dumb as skunk … sly as a fox?

August 12, 2016

Checking today’s polls …

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This week, Trump gave a pretty good speech on his economic plan (<= my opinion) … and a mellow, favorably-reviewed speech to a homebuilders trade association.

But, he got blasted in the mainstream media for rallying 2nd amendment supporters (“obviously inciting violence against Hillary”) … and for referring to Obama & Clinton as founders of ISIS (since BHO pulled ALL troops from Iraq – leaving a hole that ISIS filled).

Here’s the ironic twist:

Trump started the week down 7.7 points on the RCP poll-of-polls.

Today, he’s down 6.3 … still a big number, but 1.4 better than the week started.

 

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Of course, there were other forces at work: the typical dissipation of Hillary’s post-convention bounce … and, oh yeah, the email – Clinton Foundation thing …  she got caught with her hand in the cooking jar again.

Still, I wonder: was it the mainstream media that took the bait this time?

Blasting Trump, they spotlighted terror and gun rights … two of Trump’s strong suits.

Hmmm.

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Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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How many people watched the convention speeches?

August 11, 2016

It’s no secret that only about half of the U.S.  Voting Age Population (VAP) turns out to vote … and that the vast the majority of Americans are poorly (or narrowly) informed on political issues.

These days, pollsters are saying that a high percentage of Americans have a high level of interest in the 2016 Presidential race.

I got into a friendly debate re: whether “interest”  is a valid proxy measure for “informed”.

My POV: nope.

For example, how many people were interested enough to watch the Trump & Clinton acceptance speeches at their conventions?

elction cartoon - who not voting for
Here’s the answer …

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Is America becoming an “kakistocracy”?

August 9, 2016

Brutal op piece by Peggy Nooman in the WSJ last Friday.

The title tells most of the story: “The Week They Decided Donald Trump Was Crazy”.

The evidence: his taking the Khan bait and dissing Ryan and McCain.

“People started to become convinced he was nuts, a total flake.”

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That’s all that most folks will take from the article.

But, there was an important twist that most folks will miss or dismiss.

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WashPost deals Trump a turnaround card …

August 8, 2016

I can’t believe my eyes.

I’ve oft opined that the Washington Post is most biased of the Clinton-supportive print media.

Stories of the Post’s 30-person Trump attack team are widespread and not denied by the paper.

So, imagine my surprise when I saw the headline:

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The article is a thorough investigative story — not an opinion piece.

Here’s the short version of the story …

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Reuters: Trump still has a pulse …

August 7, 2016

OK, let’s start with the obvious: Trump had a very, very bad week … and, if I were Trump, I’d rather have Clinton’s poll results than Trump’s.

But, Trump’s campaign obit may be a bit premature.

At least one poll’s results suggest that Donald may still have a pulse.

The Reuters / IPSO poll shows a typical dissipation of Hillary’s post-convention bounce … and a statistically significant bounceback for the Donald … narrowing Clinton’s advantage to only 2.4 percentage points … within the margin of error.

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Clintonites surely consider the results to be simply an outlier.

For Trumpsters, it’s a ray of hope.

Which is it?

Here are some factors to consider …

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Trump : “Data analytics is overrated” … could he be right?

August 2, 2016

Last week, the WSJ ran an opinion piece: Trump’s Big Data Gamble.

The punch line: “While Donald tweets to the masses, Hillary will be precisely targeting persuadable voters.”

Advantage Hillary, right?

Maybe.  Maybe not.

In an AP interview, Trump said that he “always thought that it (meaning data analytics) was overrated” and, accordingly, he’ll spend limited money on data operations to identify and track potential voters and to model various turnout scenarios that could give him the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency.

He’s moving away from the model Obama used successfully in his 2008 and 2012 wins, and the one that likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is trying to replicate, including hiring many of the staff that worked for Obama in his “Victory Lab”.

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A data-light strategy may sound very old-school in the era of big data … especially coming from Trump …. but it reminded me of an opinion piece that Peggy Noonan wrote in the WSJ soon after Obama’s 2012 election win.

Noonan had a riff about predictive analytics that caught my eye.

It pointed out one of the downsides of predictive analytics … the craft of crunching big data bases to ID people, their behaviors and their hot buttons.

Here’s what Noonan had to say …

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How to sway the “none-of-the-above” voters …

August 1, 2016

According to pollster Frank Luntz

“It’s not the low-information “undecideds” who will determine the election, it’s the “none-of-the-above voter”who knows lot about both candidates and doesn’t like either one.”

These folks have deeply held opinions about what they want and expect from the next President.

They can’t stomach the choice between “crude” and “corrupt” … a decision with no good outcome.”

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Luntz concludes that these none-of-the-above voters have eight core hot buttons …

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