Why I’m a “lukewarmer” … ambivalent to climate change.

Reason #1: From “The Coming Ice Age” … to “Global Warming” … to “18 year Pause” … to “Climate Change”

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Amid the hysteria over President Trump’s ditching of the Paris Accords, I had a long talk with myself.

“Self,” I asked “Why are you so apathetic to the pending Apocalypse?”

My first reason: the wide swings in the “branding” of the impending disaster that “scientists” anticipate.

For example, back in the late 1950s (yes, I was alive then), scientists were already touting the next ice age.

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That crisis scenario caught traction for a couple of decades…

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For example, Science Magazine ran an  article in 1975 telling us to keep worrying about the coming Ice Age.

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Here’s the key chart from the Science Magazine article … showing temperatures already plummeting:

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You probably know the rest of the story.

First, the u-turn to Global Warming.

But, uh-oh, then came the “18 year pause” in global warming.

Satellite data reported that, over the a period of about 18 years or so, temperatures bounced around a bit, with zero evidence of any kind of warming trend.

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It’s called the “18 year pause” … because some climate change hawks argue that there’s still global warming but it has just taken a time out.

Say, what?

Others argue that 18 years is too short of a time period.

You see, a trend only happens over hundreds of years.

Really?

So, split the difference, let’s create some wiggle room and call it “Climate Change

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These apocalypse headlines haven’t been minor changes at the margin.

Nope,

There has been a complete u-turn from “Ice Age” to “Global Warming” … tempered with an “18-year Pause” … then wrapped in a catch-all “Climate Change”.

That gives me cognitive whiplash … makes me think that the science is really settled on this one … and brands me — according to the NY Times and British writer Matt Ridley (who coined of the phrase)– a “lukewarmer” … neither a zealot nor a denier.

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#HomaFiles

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