The government shutdown was jolting to Congressional (and GOP) already low ratings.
Pundits were projecting a big positive bump for the President.
That was an eternity ago.
You know, a couple of weeks.
Then the spotlight turned to the ObamaCare fiascos … the web site mess and the loss of Obama-guaranteed health insurance policies.
Latest NBC-WSJ poll reports an all-time low Presidential approval rating of 42% … down 5 percentage points from earlier in the month … and. down 10 percentage points from January.
What’s driving the drop?
First, views on ObamaCare are shifting.
A plurality think ObamaCare is a bad idea … 47% to 37%.
The bad idea – good idea gap has widened to 10 points.
The strongly bad idea – good idea gap has gone from even (38 – 38) to 6 points (43 – 37).
My hypothesis: Folks who are benefiting from ObamaCare have known it for awhile … folks who are forced to pay the piper (think, policy cancellations) are just realizing that they’re getting hosed.
It’ll be interesting to see how the numbers shift when young folks really start to understand the implications of the individual mandate.
But, Obama’s buoyed by his popularity, right?
Not so much any more.
Obama is 8 points underwater on very positive versus very negative … 24 to 32 … in the early days, he was plus 37 … 47 to 10.
The 24 very positive is down a whopping 23 points from his initial inauguration … the very negative is up 22 points over the same period.
So, the net swing has been an eye-popping 45 points.
As Tommy Boy would say … “That’s HUGE.”
My overall theory of the case:
1. The health care stuff hits people personally, so they can’t shrug it off like Benghazi or Tea Party targeting.
2. Mainstream media has been forced to cover the ObamaCare mess … they couldn’t sweep it under the rug like the other “false scandals”. In fact, I think the mass media is starting to have some fun finding cracks in the armor.
This will be interesting to watch.