In Google we trust?

August 29, 2016

Report insinuates that Google gives biased search results.

Here are some surprising results and a bit of tech advice for you.

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Let’s start with a very retro piece of tech advice.

Long ago, a techie friend of mine advised: “Always over-specify your searches”.

English translation: When searching, use more words rather than fewer to make your search more specific and, thus, make the likely answers be most relevant.

If you get no or too few hits, re-search by making the search less specific, i.e. take out some of your qualifying words.

Works for me

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Case in point

Over the weekend, non-MSM went viral on Google:

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Here’s the case that was being reported …

Read the rest of this entry »

BleachBit: Hillary’s gift to criminals …

August 26, 2016

How many times have you seen clips of the police confiscating a suspect’s computer for forensic analysis?

Pretty common on Forensic FIles, CSI and the 11 o’clock news, right?

And, the punch line is always the same …

The perps try to delete files & browsing histories, but unknowingly leave behind evidence.

Oops.

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Well, thanks to Team Hillary, FBI documents and a shout-out by Congressman Trey Gowdy, criminals now have no excuse for not covering their tracks.

Introducing to the American consciousness: BleachBit:

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Here’s the story ….

Read the rest of this entry »

What the most common job in the majority of states?

August 25, 2016

Hint #1: 40 years ago, it was “secretary”.

Hint#2: It’s one of the most dangerous jobs in the U.S.

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Census data was crunched by NPR analysts.

Don’t squint for the labels … just glance at the states’ color coding and make your guess.

 

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And, the answer is ….

Read the rest of this entry »

Polls: From whom do Johnson & Stein take votes?

August 24, 2016

Short answer: Disproportionately from Hillary.

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According to the latest NBC / Survey Monkey poll (<= gotta love the ‘Survey Monkey””’ part, right?):

No bounceback for Trump … he still trails Hillary by 8 in a head-to-head match-up …. 50 to 42.

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Here’s what I find most interesting …. the 4-way race.

Read the rest of this entry »

Sailor tries “Hillary defense” … then is carted off to jail.

August 23, 2016

Bottom line: Neither ignorance nor innocent intent are stay-out-of-jail cards for ordinary folks.

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Let’s connect two articles from last week.

The first is a legal opinion from The Hill:

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It’s relatively short and direct – well worth reading.

The essence of the legally supported conclusion:

In letting Hillary off-the-hook, Comey revived two old, tenuous legal defenses: “ignorance of the law” and “no direct evidence of criminal intent”.

Every kid is taught that ignorance of the law isn’t an excuse, right?

And, courts have regularly dismissed the need for prosecutors to prove “willfulness”.

If you did it, you did it

Old adage: Do the crime, do the time (or pay the fine).

But, since Comey’s leniency rested on ignorance and willfulness (“no direct evidence of criminal intent”), those defenses are making a comeback.

Here’s a specific case …..

Read the rest of this entry »

Is anybody happy these days?

August 22, 2016

Most recent Gallup poll reports a 44% decline in “satisfaction with the way things are going” … and that’s from an already rock-bottom level.

Note that the satisfaction levels were running in the mid to high 20s since the start of 2016 … that number plummets to 17% in the most recent poll … with a 17 point drop among Dems.

Hmmm.

 

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Hillary’s shrinking lead …

August 22, 2016

Weekend MSM headlines focused on Trump’s campaign staff shake-up, not on his favorably reviewed speeches or his trip to Louisiana.

So, I wasn’t expecting any movement in the polls.

Surprise, surprise, surprise.

On Sunday, the USC-LA Times poll reported Trump in the lead.

No less than Dem-favorite pollster Nate Silver sped over to CNN to disparage the poll’s methodology.

Of course, that raised my curiosity.

Bottom line: yep, Donald over Hillary by 2 points.

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Here’s what I find more interesting than the single day’s numbers ….

Read the rest of this entry »

Isn’t an “exit tax” kinda like a wall?

August 19, 2016

Watching the Olympics last night, I was sneak-exposed to a Hillary jobs ad.

The 3 point plan: (1) make everybody pay a fair share – where, of course,  ‘everybody’ is shorthand for ‘somebody who is not you, so cheer’ (2) ‘invest’ in infrastructure – where ‘invest’ means overspend on poorly managed government projects using Cadillac-planned union workers and (3) institute an “exit tax” to keep companies from leaving the U.S.

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It was the exit tax that caught my eye … partially due to the ads placement in the Olympics and because Trump gave his economic speech a few hours earlier.

Here’s why …

Read the rest of this entry »

Gut check: Which Presidential candidate REALLY shares your views?

August 18, 2016

Dare to take the “ I Side With …”  Presidential  Quiz.

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This is a very interesting online quiz from a group called “I Side With …”.

In a nutshell, you just sign on to the site and answer a battery of multiple choice questions in a variety of categories, e.g. foreign policy, social issues, science.  It takes 10 or 15 minutes to make it through the questions.

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I thought the array of questions was appropriately comprehensive … and the answer choices were fair (i.e. nothing tricky or embarrassing ).

Some of the questions made me pause to check my gut on where I stood on some issues.

That alone made the quiz worthwhile.

After answering all the questions, answers are matched against the candidates’ positions.

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And, which candidate did I match most closely?

Read the rest of this entry »

Bubba turns on Comey … Congress gives Comey a chance to strike back.

August 17, 2016

Over the weekend, former President Bill (Bubba) Clinton lashed out at FBI Director James Comey.

You may remember that Comey laid out the evidence against Hillary … and then let her walk.

Righties were displeased because of Comey’s illogic: The conclusion didn’t follow from the premises.

Lefties simply dispute premises … since they reveal Hillary to be a boldface liar.

Hubby summed it up: “Comey is full of bull …)

Hmmm.

Former President calling out the current FBI Director … who gave his wife a stay-out-of-jail free card.

My question: will Comey take that lying down?

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NY Post

He doesn’t have to … Congress just provided Comey with an opportunity to rehabilitate his cred as a straight arrow.

Read the rest of this entry »

WSJ: “Donald, step aside for Mike”

August 16, 2016

The WSJ jumped on the pile yesterday — outlining Trump’s flaws as a candidate — and opining:

“Mr. Trump, needs to stop blaming everyone else and decide if he wants to behave like someone who wants to be President—or turn the nomination over to Mike Pence.”

Hmmm.

Where have I heard that before.

Oh yeah, in the HomaFiles a couple of weeks ago when we posted:

Wish Pence & Kaine were at  top-of-tickets …

Here’s the flashback:

Both seem rational & hard-working  with some degree of moderation …  history of working across the aisle.

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Sure, they’re boring … and my favorite (Pence) would probably lose …  but I’d sure feel better about the election.

Agree?

Just imagine: Trump back in the Towers, Hillary finally  in jail …. and Pence & Kaine duking it out on the issues.

Two good choices instead of two bad ones.

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Noonan: “A historic decoupling between the top and the bottom …”

August 15, 2016

Frequent readers know that I’m big fan of the WSJ’s Peggy Noonan.

I love the way the lady writes and she always cutting to the chase with keen insights.

Her most recent column is no exception:

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Here are a couple of snippets from Noonan …

Read the rest of this entry »

Smoking Gun: CNN anchor:“We’re helping her (Hillary) as much as we can”

August 13, 2016

This isn’t exactly new news , but for those who cling to belief that CNN is an unbiased source of news …

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Speaking of Hillary Clinton’s campaign –- specifically her fund-raising from fat cats – CNN anchor Chris Cuomo (son of NY Governor Andrew Cuomo) blurted out the usually veiled truth:

We couldn’t help her any more than we have.

She’s got just a free ride so far from the media.

We’re the biggest ones promoting her campaign.

So, it had better happen.

As Gomer Pyle would say:

Surprise, surprise, surprise.

The media bias may not be new news, but the explicit admission by one of the players sure is.

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Watch it for yourself.

The clip is less than a minute … Cuomo starts about 25 seconds in.

Click to view video
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Is Trump dumb as skunk … sly as a fox?

August 12, 2016

Checking today’s polls …

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This week, Trump gave a pretty good speech on his economic plan (<= my opinion) … and a mellow, favorably-reviewed speech to a homebuilders trade association.

But, he got blasted in the mainstream media for rallying 2nd amendment supporters (“obviously inciting violence against Hillary”) … and for referring to Obama & Clinton as founders of ISIS (since BHO pulled ALL troops from Iraq – leaving a hole that ISIS filled).

Here’s the ironic twist:

Trump started the week down 7.7 points on the RCP poll-of-polls.

Today, he’s down 6.3 … still a big number, but 1.4 better than the week started.

 

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Of course, there were other forces at work: the typical dissipation of Hillary’s post-convention bounce … and, oh yeah, the email – Clinton Foundation thing …  she got caught with her hand in the cooking jar again.

Still, I wonder: was it the mainstream media that took the bait this time?

Blasting Trump, they spotlighted terror and gun rights … two of Trump’s strong suits.

Hmmm.

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Marijuana makes the news … twice this week!

August 12, 2016

Slot this one in the ‘you can’t make this stuff up” file.

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I don’t really give a hoot about the legalization of marijuana one way or another.

But, I love ironic twists, so …

Story #1

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According to NPR:

“The Obama administration has denied a bid by two Democratic governors to reconsider how it treats marijuana under federal drug control laws, keeping the drug for now, at least, in the most restrictive category for U.S. law enforcement purposes.”

“So, under federal law, marijuana remains a Schedule 1 controlled substance, which means it’s considered to have “no currently accepted medical use” and a “high potential for abuse.”

OK, so far so good.

Now, let’s advance the story …

Read the rest of this entry »

How many people watched the convention speeches?

August 11, 2016

It’s no secret that only about half of the U.S.  Voting Age Population (VAP) turns out to vote … and that the vast the majority of Americans are poorly (or narrowly) informed on political issues.

These days, pollsters are saying that a high percentage of Americans have a high level of interest in the 2016 Presidential race.

I got into a friendly debate re: whether “interest”  is a valid proxy measure for “informed”.

My POV: nope.

For example, how many people were interested enough to watch the Trump & Clinton acceptance speeches at their conventions?

elction cartoon - who not voting for
Here’s the answer …

Read the rest of this entry »

The Presidential race has gone from amusing to scary …

August 10, 2016

Yesterday, we channeled a WSJ opinion piece by Peggy Noonan.

Her takeaway point:

I end with a word that speaks of the moment we’re in.

It is “kakistocracy.”

From the Greek, it means government by the worst persons, by the least qualified or most unprincipled.

We’re on our way there, aren’t we?

Yes, Peggy, we are.

Let’s do a quick recap of yesterday’s news.

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The guy didn’t just “attend” the rally.

He was ushered to a VIP seat right behind the podium.

Team Clinton – which bills itself as a disciplined political machine and is known to script everything — says that they didn’t know who the guy was and that he just slipped behind the podium unnoticed.

Yeah, right.

BTW: Survivors of the massacre were invited guests at the rally.

In classic understatement, the media reported that they were “disappointed”.

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That would have been the story of the day if Trump had just stayed in bed.

But, he didn’t … and seriously gaffed again.

Read the rest of this entry »

Is America becoming an “kakistocracy”?

August 9, 2016

Brutal op piece by Peggy Nooman in the WSJ last Friday.

The title tells most of the story: “The Week They Decided Donald Trump Was Crazy”.

The evidence: his taking the Khan bait and dissing Ryan and McCain.

“People started to become convinced he was nuts, a total flake.”

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That’s all that most folks will take from the article.

But, there was an important twist that most folks will miss or dismiss.

Read the rest of this entry »

Sometimes, a picture is worth a thousand words.

August 8, 2016

Headline in Drudge: “Grandma helped up stairs.”

In this 2016 picture, a frail –looking Hillary Clinton – who has a history of injuries from falls (including at least one concussion) – hobbles up a flight of stairs with the assistance of Secret Service agents and aids.

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Poignant imagery, right?

The mainstream media will likely bury the picture.

But, I fully expect Trump to ask:

“Is she even physically able to handle the Presidency?”

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Before you claim “foul”, there’s a Presidential precedent …

Read the rest of this entry »

WashPost deals Trump a turnaround card …

August 8, 2016

I can’t believe my eyes.

I’ve oft opined that the Washington Post is most biased of the Clinton-supportive print media.

Stories of the Post’s 30-person Trump attack team are widespread and not denied by the paper.

So, imagine my surprise when I saw the headline:

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The article is a thorough investigative story — not an opinion piece.

Here’s the short version of the story …

Read the rest of this entry »

Reuters: Trump still has a pulse …

August 7, 2016

OK, let’s start with the obvious: Trump had a very, very bad week … and, if I were Trump, I’d rather have Clinton’s poll results than Trump’s.

But, Trump’s campaign obit may be a bit premature.

At least one poll’s results suggest that Donald may still have a pulse.

The Reuters / IPSO poll shows a typical dissipation of Hillary’s post-convention bounce … and a statistically significant bounceback for the Donald … narrowing Clinton’s advantage to only 2.4 percentage points … within the margin of error.

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Clintonites surely consider the results to be simply an outlier.

For Trumpsters, it’s a ray of hope.

Which is it?

Here are some factors to consider …

Read the rest of this entry »

The economy in 3 charts …

August 5, 2016

Here’s why many Americans feel bad about the economy.

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First, GDP – a measure of the overall economy – has been growing at a declining rate for the past 35 years.

The blue line below is the year-over-year percentage change of GDP … the red line is my eyeball trend line – attempting to factor out recessionary dips.

The boxes are roughly the Clinton years (green box), the Bush years (orange) and Obama years (red).

GDP growth for the past 10 years has been less than 5% year-over-year.

 

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Let’s dig a little deeper …

Read the rest of this entry »

Gotcha: How long does it take to hack a 16-character password?

August 4, 2016

First, how many of us have a 16-character password?

If the over-under is 1, I’m betting the under.

 

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Still, let’s pretend that that your passwords are 16-characters long – a mix of capital and lower case letters, numbers and special characters.

Here’s how long it takes to crack it …

Read the rest of this entry »

Road rage is so yesterday … today, it’s password rage.

August 3, 2016

Here’s a shocker for you.

According to a survey taken by Centrify, a leader in identity management, 1/3 of online users admit to suffering from ‘password rage’ … with many of them driven to crying, screaming and swearing.

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Here are some of the survey’s more interesting findings:

Read the rest of this entry »

Trump : “Data analytics is overrated” … could he be right?

August 2, 2016

Last week, the WSJ ran an opinion piece: Trump’s Big Data Gamble.

The punch line: “While Donald tweets to the masses, Hillary will be precisely targeting persuadable voters.”

Advantage Hillary, right?

Maybe.  Maybe not.

In an AP interview, Trump said that he “always thought that it (meaning data analytics) was overrated” and, accordingly, he’ll spend limited money on data operations to identify and track potential voters and to model various turnout scenarios that could give him the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency.

He’s moving away from the model Obama used successfully in his 2008 and 2012 wins, and the one that likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is trying to replicate, including hiring many of the staff that worked for Obama in his “Victory Lab”.

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A data-light strategy may sound very old-school in the era of big data … especially coming from Trump …. but it reminded me of an opinion piece that Peggy Noonan wrote in the WSJ soon after Obama’s 2012 election win.

Noonan had a riff about predictive analytics that caught my eye.

It pointed out one of the downsides of predictive analytics … the craft of crunching big data bases to ID people, their behaviors and their hot buttons.

Here’s what Noonan had to say …

Read the rest of this entry »

How to sway the “none-of-the-above” voters …

August 1, 2016

According to pollster Frank Luntz

“It’s not the low-information “undecideds” who will determine the election, it’s the “none-of-the-above voter”who knows lot about both candidates and doesn’t like either one.”

These folks have deeply held opinions about what they want and expect from the next President.

They can’t stomach the choice between “crude” and “corrupt” … a decision with no good outcome.”

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Luntz concludes that these none-of-the-above voters have eight core hot buttons …

Read the rest of this entry »

Branding: Would you rather travel to Iceland or Greenland?

July 29, 2016

Some friends recently tripped to Iceland.

They loved it, but remarked “it was pretty cold”.

I asserted that you waive you right to carp about chilliness when you choose to go to a place called “Iceland”.

After chuckling, I said it was a branding issue … and, my friends said “that’s right … and there’s a story about the naming of Iceland and Greenland.”

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Digging a bit, here’s the story that I’ve been able to piece together …

Read the rest of this entry »

Maybe the Russians didn’t hack the DNC …

July 28, 2016

I’ve got an alternative scenario for you.

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DNC operatives are trying to shift the conversation from the substance of the purloined DNC emails … to the hackers … blaming the Russians for being pro-Trump and releasing the emails to spoil Hillary’s campaign.

There’s hand-wringing and outrage that the Russians might be trying to impact a U.S. election.

Even President Obama has weighed in.

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But,  U.S. intelligence officials have conceded that they are basing their views on deductive reasoning and not conclusive evidence. Source

I’ve got an alternative deduced scenario for you.  Let’s connect some dots on this one …

Read the rest of this entry »

Did Comey outsource Hillary’s prosecution to Putin?

July 27, 2016

Did Comey punt to American voters: let them decide if Hillary is guilty and whether it matters?

The DNC email flap has given rise to another possible adjudicator- designate: the Russians.

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For the record, HomaFiles was early on to this one.

The day after Comey dished Hillary her stay-out-of-jail-free card – we posted:

The Russians claim to have Hillary’s emails in their possession.

What if they release a couple of damning ones?

See Why did Comey choke on the biggest decision of his career?

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Let’s flashback …

Read the rest of this entry »

What if disaffected Bernie fans go Green or Libertarian?

July 26, 2016

Let’s connect a couple of dots today …

1) The DNC was caught red-handed trying to extinguish, or at least, contain Bernie Sanders.

2) The purloined emails threw some gasoline on the smoldering Bernie embers … maybe not for him, but for many of his supporters.

3) Dem-darling pollster Nate Silver says that Bernie supporters aren’t “reliable voters” …  based on historical data, they tend to stay home rather than vote for “imperfect” candidates.

4) For avid Bernie supporters who are still likely to vote, Hillary isn’t a 2nd choice … she’s part of “the problem”.

Here’s the pay-off punch:

According to yesterday’s CNN poll, the Libertarian & Green candidates (Johnson & Stein) are getting some traction  … and they’re approaching critical mass — a combined 21% — among the under 45 crowd — many of whom still feel the Bern.

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Think about that for a moment …

Disaffected Bernie supporters are unlikely to bolt to Trump … but they may stay home … or, go Green or Libertarian … either as a protest vote or because they think one of those long-shot candidates can get into the debates and be a factor.

Keep your eye on the migration from Hillary to the 3rd parties.

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Thanks to SMH for planting the seed.

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Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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Trump Bump: 10 pt. swing in CNN poll … leads by 3

July 25, 2016

Latest CNN poll has Trump leading Clinton 48 to 45 …  Trump up 6 from pre-convention … Clinton down 4 … a 10 point swing according the CNN.

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Some details …

Read the rest of this entry »

“Comey” : Now a part of speech …

July 25, 2016

He ‘pulled a Comey’ on us”.

Responding to Cruz’s convention speech, star-rising Kentucky State Senator Ralph Alvarado cut to the chase.

OMG … an FBI Director has become a part of speech.

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You know, like Xerox is not just a company … it‘s a noun synonymous with “ copy”. … and a verb, as in “go Xerox this”.

What did Alvarado mean?

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Basically, Cruz seemed to be laying out a case supportive of Trump, then he took a turn with “vote your conscience”.

Alarado coined it a “Comey”

Now, Comey’s dictionary legacy will be:

(1) Comey, noun … an illogical or counterfactual conclusion drawn from a compelling body of evidence .. e.g. “to pull a Comey”

(2) Comey, adjective …  an illogical or counterfactual conclusion drawn from a compelling body of evidence   … e.g. “that’s Comey logic”

(3) Comey, verb … to draw an illogical or counterfactual conclusion from a compelling body of evidence.

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Comey wanted to go down in the history books  as a fair, just, apolitical FBI Director.

Instead, he may have planted his legacy in the Urban Dictionary.

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Another line from Melania’s speech to scrutinize …

July 24, 2016

A couple of common words … plagiarism?

Melania said:

On July 28th, 2006, I was very proud to become a citizen of the United States – the greatest privilege on planet Earth.”

 

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In 2008, Michelle said:

“For the first time in my adult lifetime, I am really proud of my country.”

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Hmmm.

Both proud of being Americans … for about the same length of time … Melamia for a little longer.

Wonder why the mainstream media didn’t make a plagiaristic cause celebre out of this one?

Too nuanced, perhaps?

Or, too sharp of a contrast?

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Wish Pence & Kaine were top-of-tickets …

July 23, 2016

Both seem rational & hard-working  with some degree of moderation …  history of working across the aisle.

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Sure, they’re boring … and my favorite (Pence) would probably lose …  but I’d sure feel better about the election.

Agree?

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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Ivanka: Champion for working women … especially mothers.

July 22, 2016

“As the mother of 3 children, I know that all working mothers should have access to affordable childcare. I will be their voice.”

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More notable snippets:

Read the rest of this entry »

Pence: “You can’t fake good kids” …

July 22, 2016

The Trump kids emerged as Donald’s not-so-secret weapons.

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What to expect?

Read the rest of this entry »

Trumpspeak: It’s all about the way he talks …

July 22, 2016

Trump’s speech last night had some clear takeaways: (1) law & order  (2) anti-terrorism  (3) outreach to both LGBTQs and Evangelicals (4) dignity and economic hope for the working class.

The speech was civilized .. which was probably disappointing those folks who were rooting for a crash & burn.

My opinion: he came across as a credible “blue-collar billionaire” …  has genuine empathy for the working class …. still, a bit rough around the edges.

 Breaking: CNN “snap poll” reports that 74% of viewers had a favorable reaction to Trump’s speech.

The speech reminded me of a great piece in the Washington Post by Barton Swaim author of “The Speechwriter: A Brief Education in Politics.”

His basic conclusion: “The most distinctive about Trump … is the structure of his language.”

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Swain says that Trump — nnlike most politicians –doesn’t speak in political rhetoric; he speaks in punchlines – short jabs, not convoluted passages.

Read the rest of this entry »

Cruz: “Because I’m a man of my word” … oh, really?

July 21, 2016

Why did Ted Cruz give the kind of speech he did at the RNC convention … and refuse to endorse Trump?

In a news conference Thursday, Cruz asserted that he it was because he’s “a man of principle who keeps his word.”

Really?

Remember that pesky pledge that all of the GOP candidates signed saying that they’d support the party’s nominee?

That was an not-so-clever ploy to keep Trump from running as a 3rd party candidate.

Never did the 15 losers think that the tables would turn and they’d be signing a commitment to support Trump.

Oops.

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Cruz got a chance to clarify during the Fox News debate:

BAIER: Senator Cruz, yes or no, you will support Donald Trump is he’s the nominee?

CRUZ: Yes, because I gave my word that I would.

Oops again.

So Ted, you’re a man of your word unless …

Now, tell me again why we should ever believe a word you say?

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For the record, I was a Rubio fan … with Cruz and Kasich my runners-up.

I really did think that they were me of their word.

Not so much any more.

TrusTED?

I don’t think so.

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Remember that masterful GM bailout that saved the US auto industry?

July 21, 2016

Election time, so some politicos are back to touting how the Feds “saved the US auto industry”, so I thought it was time to do a quick retrospective on the bailout.

Let’s put a stake in the ground: Ford didn’t take any Federal bailout money.

Since share price is a measure of financial performance, how has Ford stock performed?

Simple answer: At par with the S&P 500 when measured from pre-financial crisis levels …  better than the S&P if measured from the financial crisis trough. (Ford is the thin green line on the chart, S&P is the blue).

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And, how has the Fed-saved GM done?

Read the rest of this entry »

2016: Revenge of the unintelligensia?

July 20, 2016

Will “uneducated” voters determine the 2016 Presidential election?

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The most recent Washington Post poll – showing Hillary leading Donald by a couple of points — provides some very interesting drill down data … it’s worth some browsing time.

Buried in the numbers is some interesting data…..

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MSM headlines frequently stereotype Trump’s supporters as non-college degreed whites … and often, the label is shorthanded as a more pejorative “uneducated”, i.e. mind-numbed dummies.

According to the WaPo poll, it’s true that Trump is favored by “white non-college” almost 2-to-1 … 60% to 33%

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No surprise there …

But, here are some findings that did surprise me a bit since they never gets spotlighted in the mainstream media…

Read the rest of this entry »

Trump’s Wealth: Fact-checking the fact-checkers …

July 19, 2016

Bottom line: The “fact-checkers” get 4 Pinocchios … based on their “facts” and some simple arithmetic.

Chatting with one of my liberal friends over the weekend (<= note that I didn’t say “My one liberal friend”), he dished the Dem talking point that Trump is not an accomplished business man … he could have grown his wealth more by simply investing in an S&P index fund.

Really?

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Let’s pull some “facts” from the liberal “fact-checkers” (WaPo and Tampa Bay Times) and do some simple math…

Read the rest of this entry »

Quiz time: Are YOU a low-information voter?

July 18, 2016

Everybody knows that Trump supporters are uninformed Neanderthals, right?

Well, Pew has devised a 12-question quiz to measure News IQ.

So …

If you’re a Trump supporter, take the quiz to see if the critics are right.

If you’re a No-Trumper, take the quiz to see if the uninformed shoe fits you, too.

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Take the quiz … and then come back to this HomaFiles post for some interesting summary data.

Click to take the Pew News IQ Quiz.

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It’s time to get serious …

July 15, 2016

The horrific attack in Nice yesterday was hardly an isolated event.

So far, during 2016, there have been 1,268 Islamic terror attacks in 50 countries, in which 11,664 people were killed and 14087 injured.

And, that’s only counting attacks for which ISIS and other Islamic terrorist groups have claimed credit.

Below are the most recent … click the chart to see the full list for 2016 and other post 9/11 years.

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click to see full list

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Smoking Gun: Have you read the Benghazi Report?

July 14, 2016

Apparently the FBI didn’t since the Benghazi Report provides a detailed case-relevant linkage to the damage sowed by Clinton’s email “carelessness”.

In previous posts, I concluded that Comey ruled illogically because he didn’t want to tilt a potentially historic election.

For months, left-leaners were crying “foul” … asserting that the DOJ shouldn’t get involved in cases involving high profile candidates in election years … especially if the charges are as trivial as carelessly giving our enemies a backdoor into our nation’s top secret information.

What if that classified information led to the death of an American ambassador and 3 members of his “off-the-books” security detail?

Still just trivial oversight?

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Just in case you haven’t had a chance to read the Benghazi Report …

Neither the left- nor right-leaning media echo chambers seem to have landed on what, in my opinion, may be the case study that best demonstrates why Hillary Clinton’s email “carelessness” was a big deal … a life or death situation.

Note to left-leaning readers: This post will be more balanced than you might expect.

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I’ll provide some details and  links below …. for now, the bottom line:

Though Clinton was hawkish on US involvement in Libya (to oust Gadaffi), she lost the argument and was relegated to implementing Obama’s “lead from behind” and “no boots on the ground” policies.

Accordingly, the State Department under-protected the diplomats (e.g. Ambassador Stevens) who were tasked to “connect” with the anti-Gadaffi rebels.

Said differently, the Presidential Policy disallowed any overt military security for the diplomats … i.e. no marines deployed before or during the attack.

My take: Clinton – who I hold in very low regard – was just implementing the Administration’s “no boots” policy.

She argued the contrary to Obama, but lost the argument … she could have resigned, but that would have been politically inopportune for the Dems in the run-up to the 2012 election.  Instead, she dutifully implemented.

Following the attack, Clinton tried to provide air cover for her boss, pitching the fraudulent video defense ad nauseam.

Of course, politicos lying to the American public isn’t exactly new news…

So, again, I’ll give her a pass for being a good team player.

Here’s where things go off-track for Clinton.

According to the Benghazi Report …

There were numerous emails on her home-brew email system that spoke explicitly to the lack of military security for the diplomats and provided details re: the diplomats travel schedules – when and where the diplomats would be, and how little protection they’d have.

Any reasonable person would consider those nuggets to be classified information … even if they weren’t “marked classified at the time that I sent or received them”.

Assuming that the non-secure email system was compromised (a fair assumption, I think) … then the diplomats were sitting ducks.

But,  there wasn’t any direct evidence uncovered that Hillary intended to make them sitting ducks … so, harm, but no foul, right?

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Here’s some detail from the Benghazi Report that’s worth reading for “texture” and context….

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Here’s a historical precedent that Comey might have considered…

July 13, 2016

My conclusion is that Comey ruled illogically because he didn’t want to be responsible for  tilting a potentially historic election.

For months, many left-leaners were crying “foul” … asserting that the DOJ shouldn’t get involved in cases involving high profile candidates in election years … especially if the charges are as “trivial” as carelessly handling  our nation’s top secret information.

Say, what?

Memo to Comey: It was DOJ action that changed the course of our nation in 2008 — giving us, for example, ObamaCare.

Flashback to 2008 … you know, the year that Barack Obama was elected.

Well, the DOJ didn’t indict Sen. John McCain for anything … or, overtly pave the way for Obama’s election …. but  the DOJ did tilt the scales in a defining way.

Who did they indict?

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The DOJ indicted Alaska’s Ted Stevens, the longest-serving Republican senator in U.S. history. He was indicted during his 2008 re-election campaign.

What were the charges, what were the implications, and how was the case ultimately resolved?

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Do Americans agree with Comey’s decision?

July 12, 2016

Short answer: A majority disagree with Comey’s decision  not to indict Secretary Clinton.

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Two recent polls queried  public opinion on Comey’s decision to let Hillary off the hook.

The right-leaning Rasmussen Reportl headlined:

Most voters disagree with FBI Director James Comey’s decision not to seek a criminal indictment of Hillary Clinton.”

Specifically, 54% of likely U.S. voters disagree with the FBI’s decision and believe that the FBI should have sought a criminal indictment of Clinton … 27% agree with Comey and 10%) are undecided.

Said differently, 2/3’s of the people with an opinion disagreed.

The Rasmussen results are consistent with those of the left-leaning Washington Post / ABC poll which put the split at 56% disagree to 35% agree.

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Digging deeper, the details – “internals” in research jargon – are directionally predictable, but interesting…

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Friendly fire: Team Hillary blasts Comey.

July 11, 2016

Comey probably expected to be attacked from the right for his illogical decision – amassing a pile of evidence that he then summarily dismissed by parsing words (“extremely careless” vs. “gross negligence”), inserting criminal intent as a criteria (apparently never hearing of, say, negligent homicide) and channeling George Castanza: “Perjury? Is that wrong?”

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But, since he slipped Hillary a stay-out-of-jail-free card, I doubt that he was expecting to be attacked from the left.

Silly boy.

Quickly, Team Hillary moved from defense to offense …

 

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First, the Washington Post ran an op-ed by Matthew Miller – a former director of DOJ’s public affairs office under Eric Holder.

Title of the piece was James Comey’s abuse of power.

I was expecting the guy to point out that Comey should have simply presented the evidence and let the prosecutors do the prosecuting.

Wrong.

Miller’s central premise was that Comey – since he let Hillary off the hook – had no right to present a litany of  half-baked circumstantial evidence.

How would you feel if you were innocent of any wrong-doing and a sloppy, indiscriminate fact-finder started airing your inconsequential dirty laundry.

Shame on you, Mr. Comey.

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Piling on, Team Hillary started reprising their original talking points.

Facts be damned, there were no emails that were specifically marked classified at the time that they were sent or received.

Don’t throw arcane classification symbols at us, Mr. Comey … show us the word “classified” on the documents.

No reasonable person would expect the Secretary of State to know all of the classification symbols.

And, disregard that document she signed saying that she understood the law re: handling classified material … and the legal consequences.

She had to sign so many things that she couldn’t possibly read them all.  Get serious, Mr. Comey.

Say, what?

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Finally, when Wolf Blitzer – CNN’s journalistic attack dog (<= sarcasm)– sheepishly asked Hillary about Comey’s ruling, she asserted: Mr. Comey made many assertions that are based on solely on supposition.

“My record as Secretary of State demonstrates that protected classified information and the security of the country”.

English translation: There is no direct evidence that any of the information from my emails is in the hands of enemy agents. You said yourself, Mr. FBI Director.

So, Mr. Comey, prove it … or STFU.

Ouch.

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Comey probably didn’t expect that the proverbial dog would eat the hand that fed it the stay-out-of-jail card.

But, it did.

Comey tried to give everybody half-a-loaf.

He may have ndicted Hillary  politically by airing her carelessness and lies, but he let her off the legal hook.

As the saying goes, he might have been “too clever by half”… and simply angered both sides.

Comey said that his 2 life priorities are his family and his reputation.

Now, he might want to just focus on his family …

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Is Princess Elsa an anti-Semite?

July 10, 2016

She looks very innocent ….

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But, Team Trump had to raise the controversial question…

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Is Hillary a woman of destiny?

July 9, 2016

First, let’s establish a basic point:

The killing of 5 police officers in Dallas is a horrific tragedy to their families, to the city and to the country,

The massacre may go down as a defining moment in American history.

Time will tell/

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That said, can you imagine the likely bipolar reaction at Hillary’s campaign headquarters?

One one hand, I’m sure that they shared the heartfelt shock and grief that most Americans felt.

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On the other hand …

Can you imagine the sigh of relief when there was nary a word about the Comey hearings on the news yesterday?

Nothing yesterday … probably won’t be anything today or tomorrow or the next day or the day after that.

A tragedy of monumental proportions has shifted the spotlight off of Hillary at a very opportune time.

I’ll skip the obvious tasteless cliche and just say:

For better or worse, maybe Hillary is a woman of destiny.

Think about it …

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Comey’s Testimony: Cutting to the chase ….

July 8, 2016

I watched the bulk of the Comey hearings yesterday.

First, I commend the Comey for showing up, for his 5-hour mental-physical stamina, for his recall of specifics and, with a couple of exceptions, his apparent forthrightness.

Second, too bad that Chaffetz and Gowdy couldn’t have all the GOP time for questions. They provided the most revealing moments.

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Specifically, here are my takeaways.

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